Venezuelan scenario in relations with Iran may be a signal, but not a direct plan of action – Rezazade
Recent geopolitical events — in particular, US President Donald Trump’s statements on supporting anti-government protests in Iran and the reaction to the situation in Venezuela — encourage comparisons between the two countries.
During large-scale protests in Iran, which continue against the backdrop of an economic crisis and a brutal crackdown on protesters, some analysts are drawing attention to the Venezuelan case, where the US carried out an unexpected operation that ended with a change in the situation in Caracas and significantly influenced the domestic politics of this country.
International expert and first vice president of the Iranian opposition in Washington, Ali Reza Rezazade, believes that the situation with Iran and Venezuela has certain strategic parallels, but a direct transfer of the scenario from Caracas to Tehran is unlikely.
“The real significance of the Venezuelan example is not that it should become a direct model for Iran, but that it serves as a signal of how the United States can act decisively against regimes that it considers criminalized and threatening,” Rezazade notes.
According to him, Iran has a much more complex internal political and military structure than Venezuela, and the military and ideological elites here are much more deeply integrated into the state. Therefore, a complete and rapid removal of the Iranian leadership, as in what happened in Venezuela, is unlikely. Instead, Rezazadeh emphasizes that the Caracas case is becoming an important political signal: it demonstrates that the United States is ready to use a wider range of tools — from sanctions and political pressure to support for protest movements — against regimes that suppress domestic protest.
The expert also draws attention to the fact that the current events in Iran are much broader than ordinary protests: they have covered all the provinces of the country, including nationwide strikes and large-scale clashes with the regime. This creates unique pressure on the authorities, which are dealing with internal discontent, international sanctions and foreign policy.
“A comparison with Venezuela shows that not only forceful, but also political ways of resolving conflicts are possible. But Iran is not just an authoritarian regime. It is a state with a significant military and security infrastructure that will not give up easily. Therefore, we may not only be talking about direct intervention, but about a combination of internal pressure, international isolation and strategic decisions by the West,” Rezazade concludes.
По теме
During his annual address to Congress, US President Donald Trump said that Iran is working on creating missiles that could soon reach the territory of the United States. At the same time, he emphasized that he prefers a diplomatic settlement, but does not rule out forceful steps if the threat persists.
Президент США Дональд Трамп во время ежегодного обращения к Конгрессу заявил, что Иран работает над созданием ракет, которые в ближайшем будущем могут достичь территории Соединённых Штатов. При этом он подчеркнул, что отдаёт предпочтение дипломатическому урегулированию, однако не исключает силовых шагов в случае сохранения угрозы.
At the end of February 2026, the United States concentrated the largest number of military equipment and personnel in the Middle East in more than 20 years. Dozens of fighter jets, aircraft carriers and escort ships arrived in the region, which created an unprecedented grouping in the Persian Gulf.
В конце февраля 2026 года Соединённые Штаты сосредоточили на Ближнем Востоке наибольшее количество военной техники и личного состава за последние более чем 20 лет. В регион прибыли десятки истребителей, авианосцы и корабли сопровождения, создавая беспрецедентное военное угруппирование в районе Персидского залива.
The next round of nuclear talks between the United States and Iran will be held on Thursday in Geneva under the mediation of Oman. The dialogue is taking place against the backdrop of an unprecedented US military presence in the Middle East and mutual statements by the parties about their readiness for a force scenario in the event of the failure of diplomacy.
Очередной раунд ядерных переговоров между Соединёнными Штатами и Ираном состоится в четверг в Женеве при посредничестве Омана. Диалог проходит на фоне беспрецедентного военного присутствия США на Ближнем Востоке и взаимных заявлений сторон о готовности к силовому сценарию в случае провала дипломатии.
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Statements by US Vice President J.D. Vance about preventing the emergence of nuclear weapons in Iran and warning Israel about its readiness to act independently indicate that the situation around Tehran has entered a new, much more tense phase. Washington openly declares: a nuclear Iran is an unacceptable scenario for global security.
Заявления вице-президента США Джей Ди Вэнса о недопущении появления у Ирана ядерного оружия и предупреждение Израиля о готовности действовать самостоятельно свидетельствуют о переходе ситуации вокруг Тегерана в новую, значительно более напряжённую фазу.
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Новости «Новости мира»
During his annual address to Congress, US President Donald Trump said that Iran is working on creating missiles that could soon reach the territory of the United States. At the same time, he emphasized that he prefers a diplomatic settlement, but does not rule out forceful steps if the threat persists.
Президент США Дональд Трамп во время ежегодного обращения к Конгрессу заявил, что Иран работает над созданием ракет, которые в ближайшем будущем могут достичь территории Соединённых Штатов. При этом он подчеркнул, что отдаёт предпочтение дипломатическому урегулированию, однако не исключает силовых шагов в случае сохранения угрозы.
At the end of February 2026, the United States concentrated the largest number of military equipment and personnel in the Middle East in more than 20 years. Dozens of fighter jets, aircraft carriers and escort ships arrived in the region, which created an unprecedented grouping in the Persian Gulf.
В конце февраля 2026 года Соединённые Штаты сосредоточили на Ближнем Востоке наибольшее количество военной техники и личного состава за последние более чем 20 лет. В регион прибыли десятки истребителей, авианосцы и корабли сопровождения, создавая беспрецедентное военное угруппирование в районе Персидского залива.